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The Commons

April 2006 Archives

Revkin on Global Warming
Posted by Steve Hayward  ·  23 April 2006  ·  Climate

New York Times science writer Andy Revkin has an interesting piece on today's "Week in Review" section on the state of the global warming issue. (Hopefully this link will work, but you can never tell with the Times.) A close reading of this article suggests that Revkin, who usually tilts toward the alarmists, sees that the current campaign is perhaps going overboard, and the piece includes openness to ideas that are heresy to the conventional wisdom right now, such as the possibility that the alarmists are overstating what is not known, and that adaptation may be a better strategy than near-term GHG emissions cuts.

Go figure --- prices matter
Posted by J. Bishop Grewell  ·  22 April 2006  ·  Energy

CNN's quick poll has 83% of almost 20,000 respondents saying the bigger incentive to leave the car in the garage is "high gas prices, save money" over "It's Earth Day, save the planet."

Alas, I cannot seem to get the link to the poll to work.

Happy Earth Day
Posted by Steve Hayward  ·  22 April 2006  ·  Environmental Alarmism

Today's Wall Street Journal (public link) nicely features my annual Index of Leading Environmental Indicators. And for true glutton, I have a podcast up at the Ashbrook Center website. It's a wide-ranging conversation, but it opens with environmental topics

NSR's Grandfather Problem
Posted by Jonathan H. Adler  ·  21 April 2006  ·  Air Quality

Law professor Shi-Ling Hsu takes aim at New Source Review in Regulation magazine.

Learning from the Old West
Posted by Jonathan H. Adler  ·  21 April 2006  ·  Property Rights

Terry Anderson and Laura Higgins have authored a new PERC paper on lessons for natural resource policies that can be learned from the "Old West." An excerpt from the introduction:

In the modern West, new entrepreneurial opportunities have emerged. Many of these reflect the growing demand for environmental products (sometimes called amenities) such as recreation and open space, in contrast to traditional commodities such as timber and minerals. Yet this desire for “unspoiled” nature has created acrimony and gridlock in the West. The institutional setting today is dominated by national politics rather than by individuals, community groups, and local governments as it was more than a century ago. Conflict is pervasive because one party's gain is another's loss. . . .

Yet the West has always prided itself on its independence and ingenuity. The message of this essay is that the New West must learn from the Old West. If we are to get the most from nature’s bounty—whether from traditional activities such as cattle ranching or modern ones such as recreational canoeing,or a combination of both—we must learn from institutions that encouraged resource stewardship and cooperation on the frontier. Finding a balance between cows and canoes in the midst of a stampede of people moving West to live in condos will be the key to long-term prosperity in the West.

Park Trump
Posted by Jonathan H. Adler  ·  21 April 2006  ·  Federal Lands and Parks

Donald Trump is donating 436 acres outside New York City to the state to create a new park named after the Donald himself. CNN reports here; Tim Haab comments here.

GreenGop.org
Posted by Jonathan H. Adler  ·  15 April 2006  ·  

GreenGOP.org is a new blog dedicated to "reconciling Republican policies with environmental protection." There 's a large need for efforts to promote alternative approaches to environmental protection. That's one of the role's that The Commons Blog seeks to fill. Given the links and suggested reading list, I'm skeptical that the same can be said for GreenGOP.org. It appears that the site is more than another effort to get Republicans to vote "left" on environmental issues. Time will tell. (Link via Environmental Economics)

Lindzen on Climate Orthodoxy
Posted by Jonathan H. Adler  ·  15 April 2006  ·  Climate

Eminent climate contrarian Richard Lindzen in the WSJ:

Scientists who dissent from the alarmism have seen their grant funds disappear, their work derided, and themselves libeled as industry stooges, scientific hacks or worse. Consequently, lies about climate change gain credence even when they fly in the face of the science that supposedly is their basis.
Roger Pielke responds to some of Lindzen's claims here.

The Sliming of Frederick Seitz
Posted by Jonathan H. Adler  ·  15 April 2006  ·  Climate

One of the articles in the "green" issue of Vanity Fair tries to tar former National Academy of Sciences president Frederick Seitz as a former stoolie for tobacco companies. It's a vicious smear, as Nick Schulz details here.

Climate: Americans Do It Better
Posted by Carlo Stagnaro  ·  14 April 2006  ·  Climate ~European Union

Mario Sechi and I have a paper arguing that Europe must find a way out of the Kyoto failure. A country such as Italy, that faces higher costs than most EU members, might lead a step forward by joining the Asian & Pacific Partnership on Clean Energy and Climate. However unlikely, should such a path be followed all Europeans would be better off.

Index of Leading Environmental Indicators, 11th Edition
Posted by Steve Hayward  ·  13 April 2006  ·  

I would be remiss if I didn't note the release of the 11th edition of my annual Index of Leading Environmental Indicators. This year's special section looks at China, where--no surprise to people who contribute to this site--pollution is starting to fall as a consequence of China's rapid economic growth.

FME web-chat this Thursday
Posted by J. Bishop Grewell  ·  12 April 2006  ·  Media

Terry Anderson, executive director of PERC, will discuss free market environmentalism as part of a web chat sponsored by the U.S. State Department on Thursday, April 13th, at noon EST. For those interested in listening in, please visit here.

Preventing illness and deaths from malaria
Posted by Kendra Okonski  ·  12 April 2006  ·  DDT/Malaria ~International ~Precautionary Principle

The folks at Africa Fighting Malaria have written to the Council of the European Union requesting official clarification of their position on the use of DDT in Uganda's malaria control programme.

We therefore request a clear statement on the EU’s position on the use of DDT in malaria control and its position regarding agricultural exports from any country that uses DDT in malaria control. The confusion and misinformation following the EU’s statements in Uganda has cost lives and damaged Uganda’s malaria control program and this must halt immediately. We would appreciate a response before 25 April, which marks Africa Malaria Day.

AFM has highlighted the fact that US AID recently committed to using DDT in several indoor residual spraying programmes. (See previous posts for background on the topic.)

Selling off Federal Lands
Posted by J. Bishop Grewell  ·  11 April 2006  ·  Federal Lands and Parks

Holly Fretwell of PERC is in the Seattle Post Intelligencer today discussing the possibility of selling off some Forest Service lands. The article is similar to a piece she had in the Online Wall Street Journal not too long ago, so if you missed it then, catch it now.

Environmental Politics
Posted by Steve Hayward  ·  10 April 2006  ·  

From Joe Klein's column in Time magazine, more evidence about the limited appeal of the environment in national elections:

In early 2003, I had dinner with several of the consultants who advised Al Gore in the 2000 presidential campaign. I asked them why Gore, a passionate environmentalist, had spent so little time and energy talking about the environment during the campaign. Because we told him not to, the consultants said. Why? I asked. Because it wasn't going to help him win. "He wanted to talk about the environment," said Tad Devine, a partner in the firm of Shrum, Devine & Donilon, "and I said to him, 'Look, you can do that, but you're not going to win a single electoral vote more than you now have. If you want to win Michigan and western Pennsylvania, here are the issues that really matter—this is what you should talk about.'"

Review of Sunstein's "Risk and Reason"
Posted by IMGrant  ·   8 April 2006  ·  Environmental Risk

Indur Goklany's review of Cass Sunstein's Risk and Reason recently appeared in Politics and the Life Sciences. Goklany broadly endorses Sunstein's diagnosis of the regulatory state, and generally shares his view that cost-benefit analysis (CBA), despite its reliance on technocratic expertise, far from being undemocratic is, in fact, critical to developing better [and more reliable] information, without which, in Sunstein's words, "neither deliberation nor democracy is possible."

Goklany, however, takes a much more skeptical view of the achievements of 1970s evironmentalism than does Sunstein. He notes:

One cannot, however, embrace Sunstein's evaluation of 1970s environmentalism... with equal enthusiasm. Clearly it has significantly improved America's quality of life, but progress toward solving its worst environmental health problems was well underway before 1970. Between 1900 and 1970 the death rate due to various water-related diseases (typhoid and paratyphoid, various gastro-intestinal diseases, and dysentery) dropped from 1,860 to below 10 (per million), an improvement of 99.5 percent. The Clean Water Act and the Safe Drinking Water Act, however, date to 1972 and 1974. Similarly, substantial air quality improvements preceded the 1970 Clean Air Act (CAA) for those pollutants and areas where they were of greatest concern. In many cases air quality improved faster before, than after, 1970, something glossed over in EPA's retrospective analysis of the CAA, and Sunstein's review of that study.

Moreover, the 1972 DDT ban, one of 1970s environmentalism's signal achievements, reduced global DDT production, and stigmatized its use. The subsequent reluctance of international aid agencies to fund its use contributed to malaria's resurgence in developing countries, with especially tragic consequences for Sub-Saharan Africa whose malarial death rate, which had dropped from 1,840 to 1,070 (per million) between 1950 and 1970, rebounded to 1,650 in 1997, corresponding to an increase in absolute deaths from 300,000 in 1970 to a million in 1997. This increase in malaria, and its effects on human productivity, is one reason why Sub-Saharan Africa is one of world's few regions where life expectancy declined, and poverty and hunger increased, over the past decades.


The review also raises fundamental questions regarding the "standard" levels of protection against cancer causing risks that are used in risk analysis:
The reader would surely have benefited had Sunstein applied the same intellectual rigor and clarity of thought that permeate this book to some fundamental questions raised by his diagnosis of the current regulatory state. For instance, what is the significance of protecting against a lifetime increase in cancer of 1-in-1,000 or 1-in-1,000,000 (as agencies attempt to do) when the lifetime risk of dying from (as opposed to contracting) cancer in the U.S. is currently 1-in-4.5, and the lifetime risk of dying is 1-in-1 (p. 135)? Moreover, regardless of what value is assigned to a life, is it justifiable for society (as opposed to private parties) to assign in a CBA, say, $6 million to "save" a life if more lives could be "saved" at the same cost via other means?

Goklany also raises the question as to how -- or whether -- success or failure of risk regulation can be meaningfully measured:
Sunstein's scheme for reforming the regulatory state also doesn't address how, or even whether, success or failure of risk regulation can be measured post facto. Without such measurements accountability and mid-course corrections are virtually impossible.

Read More


Portland Planning System Breaking Down
Posted by Randal O'Toole  ·   7 April 2006  ·  

Portland Oregon's highly praised (by central planning advocates) land-use planning system is breaking down. Residents are fed up with the increasing congestion, the diversion of funds from schools, fire, police, and other services to rail transit and high-density developments, the insider dealings and no-bid contracts, and unaffordable housing caused by the urban-growth boundary and restrictive land-use rules. The question is whether the region can find a way out of the hole it has dug for itself. One answer may come in upcoming city council elections.

Read More


Tradable Calorie Emission Permits??
Posted by Steve Hayward  ·   7 April 2006  ·  Poverty and Hunger

Today's Washington Post carries an op-ed that should be another caution about the enthusiasm for "tradable emissions permits" for greenhouse gases or anything else: a cardiologist suggests that we adopt a colorie emissions trading program to fight obesity. In other words, this genius wants to make my cheeseburger and Popeye's fried chicken more expensive. Will people get calorie credits for exercise? More likely it will be just another disguised rationing and tax raising scheme.

The Value of "Consensus"
Posted by Jonathan H. Adler  ·   5 April 2006  ·  Climate

Over at Prometheus, Roger Pielke has an interesting post on the nature of scientific "consensus."

Forest Conservation
Posted by Jonathan H. Adler  ·   5 April 2006  ·  Forests ~Private Conservation

Mark Thoma at the Environmental Economics blog points to this NYT article on a major forest conservation deal, and wonders whether the internet's effect on paper prices played a role.

The Green Costs of Kelo
Posted by Jonathan H. Adler  ·   4 April 2006  ·  Private Conservation ~Property Rights ~Urban Planning and Sprawl

The Supreme Court's Kelo decision provoked outrage in most ideological corners. Environmentalist groups were conspicuously absent from Kelo's critics, however. This was surprising, as the unconstrained use of eminent domain to promote economic development poses significant risks to environmental conservation, or so Ilya Somin and I argue in "The Green Costs of Kelo: Economic Development Takings and Environmental Protection. A draft of the paper is now available on SSRN here. The abstract is below.
UPDATE: Ilya's also blogged on our study at the Volokh Conspiracy here.

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When Marxism Stifles Environmental Improvement
Posted by Iain Murray  ·   3 April 2006  ·  International

Analyst Paul Driessen writes about the battle currently being waged in La Oroya, Peru, by a company determined to clean up a polluting factory and improve the lives of the town's inhabitants and the local Archbishop and NGOs like Oxfam who put ideological purity above such life-enhancing measures. The views expressed below are Mr Driessen's.

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Testing, Testing, 1, 2, 3...
Posted by   ·   1 April 2006  ·  

This is a test message to be sure the new Movable Type installation has been successful.

It appears to have been.