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The Commons
A Responsible Approach to Climate Change
Posted by Pete Geddes  ·  10 August 2004  ·  Climate

We protect the environment because we care about clean air and preserving other species, not mainly for financial reasons. But we also value inexpensive supplies of power and fast and convenient transportation.

All interesting and important policy questions involve choosing among competing values. Consider climate change. How does human action influence future climates? How willing are we to give up inexpensive fossil fuel energy? Does climate change demand drastic and dramatic action now? If so, at what cost? However well intended, it is naïve and irresponsible to ignore the unavoidable trade-offs.

We have limited resources and face many challenges. Here’s a simple truth: The money spent to combat climate change is not available to eradicate malaria, killer of 2 million people each year, 90 percent of whom are children under 5. And it takes money to increase female literacy in poor nations -- perhaps the key investment for social progress.

Those who believe climate change trumps all else ignore the reality that we must trade off among competing values. Those who deny this hold a religious position that is not open to reason.

What if those who question the need for dramatic action are all pawns of “corporate polluters”? Even if true (it’s not), the costs of addressing climate change will be paid by real people. Does anyone honestly believe Pacific Gas and Electric deliberately emits carbon to destroy our climate? Isn’t PG&E simply responding to consumers’ willingness to give up something they value (i.e., money) for the energy required to run their washing machines and PCs?

The Climate Stewardship Act was defeated last fall in the U.S. Senate. Its failure illustrates the political calculus of climate change. Politicians’ time horizons rarely extend beyond the next election cycle. When benefits accrue to future generations and the costs are borne today, politicians avoid tough decisions.

The only moral approach is to prioritize among competing values.

The Copenhagen Consensus project is a recent example of this process. It asked some of the world's leading economists to rank the world’s ten biggest problems identified by the United Nations. These challenges are: civil conflicts, climate change, communicable diseases, education, financial stability, governance, hunger and malnutrition, migration, trade reform, and water and sanitation.

Their charge: “What would be the best ways of advancing global welfare, and particularly the welfare of developing countries, supposing that an additional $50 billion of resources were at governments’ disposal?”

The highest priority was preventing the spread of HIV/AIDS. A relatively small investment ($27 billion) would yield extraordinarily high benefits -- nearly 30 million new infections averted by 2010. This is especially critical for progress in Africa, where AIDS threatens to collapse entire societies.

Climate change received the lowest ranking. Why? It takes enormous expenditures to achieve very small reductions in greenhouse gases -- and the benefits are uncertain. The panel declared current abatement strategies (e.g., the Kyoto protocol) “a bad use of our finite resources.”

Climate change is global in scale and we’re already committed to future warming, for carbon dioxide is a long-lived atmospheric resident. It’s clear: whether anthropogenic or natural, climate change is inevitable. Our challenge is to deal with it responsibly.

The great grandchildren of the world’s poorest are those most likely to be adversely affected by global warming. Here’s the key to ethical policies. The best defense against adverse consequences of warming is wealth creation in the developing world. Here’s why.

In this arena as in so many others, wealth buffers adversity. The greatest dangers are policies that stifle Third World economic progress, e.g., First World trade barriers. This great truth is often ignored in the debate over climate change.

Stephen Schneider, a Stanford biologist and global warming alarmist, criticized the Copenhagen project by saying, “Climate change is not an economics problem. It’s an ethics problem.” Mr. Schneider, indeed it is.

Comments
  1. The climate change industry (CCI) is a political movement not a scientific one.

    If it were not political, the CCI would be pushing for the widespread use of nuclear power. Or they would be pushing governments to give billions in a Manhattan type project to create power from fusion.

    The CCI is not interested in solutions, it is only interested in changing economic systems and achieving authoritarian control over the world’s population.


    Posted by: Jake at August 10, 2004 03:33 PM
  2. I love your analogy that those who fail to recognize that we must trade off among competing values "hold a religious postion that is not open to reason." You cannot be more accurate in your assessment.

    Posted by: John Adams at The Commons at August 10, 2004 10:21 PM
  3. What do you think of the report in the UK Telegraph which stated:

    "Global warming has finally been explained: the Earth is getting hotter because the Sun is burning more brightly than at any time during the past 1,000 years, according to new research.

    A study by Swiss and German scientists suggests that increasing radiation from the sun is responsible for recent global climate changes."

    My own take on Global Warning is: when scientists can explain the Ice Ages, then I'll believe their explanation on Global Warming.

    Keep on rocking, folks, I love you blog.

    Posted by: Paulie at The Commons at August 11, 2004 08:19 AM
  4. Very spiffy redesign.

    I still would like to know what the optimal climate is. It seems surprising that, say, 1970 was the best possible global climate, as opposed to 1066 or 1680 or 1,000,000 BC.

    Posted by: Gary and the Samoyeds at August 11, 2004 10:06 AM